Torreense vs Penafiel Prediction & Tips

Portugal - Segunda Liga Regular Season - 32 Estadio Manuel Marques· Torres Vedras Monday, May 4, 2026 17:00

Torreense PPG 1.73

3-2 MISS

Penafiel PPG 1.00

Away· +8.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Home 40.6%

Odds: 1.84 EV: -25.3%

Draw 32.9%

Odds: 3.30 EV: +8.6%

Away 26.5%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +8.6%

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 37.1% Odds: 2.00 -25.8%

Over 3.5 17.6% Odds: 3.40 -40.2%

BTTS 45.3% Odds: 1.80 -18.5%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Torreense

1.23

Penafiel

0.95

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5/Under 45%

BTTS/No 38%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -45.7%

Bet Hit 30% (10 bets)

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.73) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)