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Feirense vs Sporting CP B Prediction— Portugal - Segunda Liga

Matchday 5 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 14:30

Feirense

PPG 1.17 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLL ·

UPCOMING

Sporting CP B

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLW ·

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.4%0-115.7%0-27.5%0-32.4%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.9%1-113.4%1-26.4%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-05.9%2-15.7%2-22.7%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.7%3-11.6%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.7% 38.2% 2.62 -19.6%

Draw 32.4% 34.5% 2.90 -6.0%

Away win 36.9% 40.0% 2.50 -7.8%

Over 2.5 38.0% 42.6% 2.35 -10.7%

Over 3.5 18.4% 23.1% 4.33 -12.2%

BTTS 42.6% 52.4% 1.91 -18.6%

Home O1.5 30.8% 36.4% 2.75 -15.3%

Away O1.5 26.1% 36.4% 2.75 -16.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -48.9%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob42.6%

D 32% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.4%

#2 0–1 15.7%

#3 1–1 13.4%

#4 1–0 13.9%

#5 0–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Feirense0.8

Sporting CP B1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.4%

Form & verdict PPG

FEIRENSE · PPG 1.17

SPORTING CP B · PPG 1.38

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

Chance this pick lands

43%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.11, combined xG 1.81 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Feirense (H) 30.7%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -19.6%

Draw 32.4%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -6.0%

Sporting CP B (A) 36.9%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -7.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Feirense face Sporting CP B in Portugal - Segunda Liga on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Feirense a 31% chance, the draw 32% and Sporting CP B 37%, so Sporting CP B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Feirense and 1.0 for Sporting CP B (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Feirense are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.38 for Sporting CP B.

Feirense vs Sporting CP B Prediction— Portugal - Segunda Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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