Wadi Degla vs K. Ismailia Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Egypt - Premier League Relegation Group - 8 Al Salam Stadium· Cairo Monday, May 4, 2026 17:00

Wadi Degla PPG 1.64

1-2 MISS

K. Ismailia PPG 1.64

Away· -0.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Wadi Degla face K. Ismailia in Egypt - Premier League on Monday, May 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wadi Degla a 49% chance, the draw 30% and K. Ismailia 21%, so Wadi Degla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Wadi Degla and 0.9 for K. Ismailia (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wadi Degla are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.64 for K. Ismailia. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.2%

Odds: 1.74 EV: -14.4%

Draw 30.1%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -2.2%

Away 20.7%

Odds: 4.80 EV: -0.6%

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.0% Odds: 2.15 -9.7%

Over 3.5 21.3% Odds: 3.85 -18.0%

BTTS 47.1% Odds: 1.93 -9.1%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Wadi Degla

1.48

K. Ismailia

0.88

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.64), Away GOOD (1.64)