Today / Egypt - Premier League / Al Ittihad vs Petrojet

Al Ittihad vs Petrojet Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Relegation Group - 8 ·Monday, May 4, 2026, 17:00

Al Ittihad

PPG 1.42 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Petrojet

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-110.9%0-25.6%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.1%1-113.3%1-26.7%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.9%2-18.0%2-24.1%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.2%3-13.3%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.3%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.6% 43.1% 2.32 -10.4%

Draw 32.7% 35.5% 2.82 -7.8%

Away win 28.7% 30.3% 3.30 -5.3%

Over 2.5 38.5% 39.2% 2.55 -1.8%

Over 3.5 18.6% 20.0% 5.00 -7.0%

BTTS 46.8% 50.0% 2.00 -6.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob46.8%

D 33% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.8%

#3 1–0 13.1%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Ittihad1.2

Petrojet1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.5% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AL ITTIHAD · PPG 1.42

PETROJET · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.42) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Al Ittihad (H) 38.6%

ODDS 2.32 · IMPLIED 43.1% EV -10.4%

Draw 32.7%

ODDS 2.82 · IMPLIED 35.5% EV -7.8%

Petrojet (A) 28.7%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -5.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Ittihad face Petrojet in Egypt - Premier League on Monday, May 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Ittihad a 39% chance, the draw 33% and Petrojet 29%, so Al Ittihad are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Al Ittihad and 1.0 for Petrojet (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Ittihad are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.00 for Petrojet. This match finished 1-2.

Al Ittihad vs Petrojet Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Egypt - Premier League Predictions