FC Midtjylland vs Viborg Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Denmark - Superliga Championship Group - 30 MCH Arena· Herning Monday, May 4, 2026 17:00

FC Midtjylland PPG 2.07

3-3 MISS

Viborg PPG 1.43

Away· +4.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.7%

Odds: 1.55 EV: -12.1%

Draw 23.5%

Odds: 4.33 EV: +1.8%

Away 19.8%

Odds: 5.25 EV: +4.0%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.2% Odds: 1.50 -3.7%

Over 3.5 42.1% Odds: 2.25 -5.3%

BTTS 62.8% Odds: 1.55 -2.7%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Midtjylland

2.10

Viborg

1.20

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -3.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -3.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+4.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.07) > Away AVERAGE (1.43)