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Odense vs FC Copenhagen Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Matchday 7 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 14:00

Odense

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLDD

UPCOMING

FC Copenhagen

PPG 1.77 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 63% chance

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 62.3% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-16.9%0-26.0%0-33.4%0-4+2.2%1 1-06.0%1-110.3%1-28.9%1-35.1%1-4+3.3%2 2-04.4%2-17.7%2-26.6%2-33.8%2-4+2.4%3 3-02.2%3-13.8%3-23.3%3-31.9%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.0%4+-21.7%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.0% 27.8% 3.60 +26.0%

Draw 23.4% 27.8% 3.60 -9.5%

Away win 41.7% 54.1% 1.85 -22.9%

Over 2.5 62.3% 63.7% 1.57 -2.2%

Over 3.5 40.2% 42.0% 2.38 -4.3%

BTTS 61.7% 65.4% 1.53 -5.6%

Home O1.5 39.9% 40.0% 2.50 -0.3%

Away O1.5 47.9% 59.9% 1.67 -20.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob61.7%

A 42% / xG 1.5-1.7 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 2–1 7.7%

#4 0–2 6.0%

#5 2–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Odense1.5

FC Copenhagen1.7

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.3% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ODENSE · PPG 1.50

FC COPENHAGEN · PPG 1.77

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

63%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.24 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Odense (H) 35.0%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +26.0%

Draw 23.4%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -9.5%

FC Copenhagen (A) 41.7%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -22.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Odense face FC Copenhagen in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odense a 35% chance, the draw 23% and FC Copenhagen 42%, so FC Copenhagen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Odense and 1.7 for FC Copenhagen (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odense are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.77 for FC Copenhagen. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +20.5%.

Odense vs FC Copenhagen Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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