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Brondby vs Randers FC Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Matchday 7 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 16:00

Brondby

PPG 1.98 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWL

UPCOMING

Randers FC

PPG 0.84 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLW

// Model verdict

Home 62% chance

Model probability 54.8% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-15.9%0-22.5%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.6%1-110.7%1-24.5%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.5%2-19.7%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.0%3-15.9%3-22.5%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.8%4+-14.1%4+-21.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.8% 65.4% 1.53 -16.2%

Draw 23.6% 23.8% 4.20 -0.5%

Away win 21.6% 20.0% 5.00 +4.8%

Over 2.5 53.8% 62.5% 1.60 -13.9%

Over 3.5 32.9% 40.0% 2.50 -17.8%

BTTS 53.1% 61.7% 1.62 -14.0%

Home O1.5 51.6% 66.7% 1.50 -22.6%

Away O1.5 24.3% 28.6% 3.50 -9.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob53.1%

H 55% / xG 1.8-0.8 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 2–0 11.5%

#3 1–0 12.6%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brondby1.8

Randers FC0.8

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BRONDBY · PPG 1.98

RANDERS FC · PPG 0.84

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

62%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.97 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Brondby (H) 54.8%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -16.2%

Draw 23.6%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -0.5%

Randers FC (A) 21.6%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +4.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brondby face Randers FC in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brondby a 55% chance, the draw 24% and Randers FC 22%, so Brondby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Brondby and 0.8 for Randers FC (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brondby are averaging 1.98 points per game versus 0.84 for Randers FC. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +7.8%.

Brondby vs Randers FC Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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