R. Surdulica vs Vojvodina Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Serbia - Super Liga Championship Group - 34 EFBET Stadion· Surdulica Monday, May 4, 2026 15:00

R. Surdulica PPG 1.75

1-4 MISS

Vojvodina PPG 1.81

Home· +5.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

R. Surdulica face Vojvodina in Serbia - Super Liga on Monday, May 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives R. Surdulica a 33% chance, the draw 31% and Vojvodina 36%, so Vojvodina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for R. Surdulica and 1.3 for Vojvodina (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, R. Surdulica are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.81 for Vojvodina. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.0%. This match finished 1-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.8%

Odds: 3.20 EV: +5.0%

Draw 30.8%

Odds: 3.15 EV: -3.0%

Away 36.4%

Odds: 2.18 EV: -20.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 2.10 -3.8%

Over 3.5 24.4% Odds: 3.80 -7.3%

BTTS 52.9% Odds: 1.80 -4.8%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

R. Surdulica

1.22

Vojvodina

1.29

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+5.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5/Under 43%

BTTS/No 41%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -53.7%

Bet Hit 23% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.81)