Today / Serbia - Super Liga / FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd

FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Matchday 7 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 17:00

FK Partizan

PPG 1.40 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLLW

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

OFK Beograd

PPG 1.41 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLWL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.9% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-16.3%0-23.7%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-09.6%1-111.1%1-26.4%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.4%2-19.7%2-25.6%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.9%3-15.6%3-23.3%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-13.6%4+-22.1%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.5% 58.5% 1.71 -20.5%

Draw 24.2% 26.0% 3.85 -4.1%

Away win 29.3% 24.4% 4.10 +12.1%

Over 2.5 53.8% 63.7% 1.57 -15.5%

Over 3.5 34.4% 41.7% 2.40 -17.4%

BTTS 55.9% 65.4% 1.53 -14.5%

Home O1.5 49.9% 61.7% 1.62 -19.2%

Away O1.5 33.2% 36.4% 2.75 -8.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -37.4%

Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.9%

H 46% / xG 1.7-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 1–2 6.4%

#4 2–0 8.4%

#5 1–0 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FK Partizan1.7

OFK Beograd1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 34.4%

Form & verdict PPG

FK PARTIZAN · PPG 1.40

OFK BEOGRAD · PPG 1.41

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

FK Partizan (H) 46.5%

ODDS 1.71 · IMPLIED 58.5% EV -20.5%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -4.1%

OFK Beograd (A) 29.3%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +12.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

FK Partizan face OFK Beograd in Serbia - Super Liga on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FK Partizan a 47% chance, the draw 24% and OFK Beograd 29%, so FK Partizan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for FK Partizan and 1.2 for OFK Beograd (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FK Partizan are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.41 for OFK Beograd. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +11.1%. This match finished 3-1.

FK Partizan vs OFK Beograd Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Serbia - Super Liga Predictions