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Železničar Pančevo vs Radnik Surdulica Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Matchday 7 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 17:00

Železničar Pančevo

PPG 1.88 · HOME

LAST 5

WDDLW

5 – 1

FULL TIME

Radnik Surdulica

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWWL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.1%0-19.4%0-24.0%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.0%1-112.7%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.1%2-18.6%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.6%3-13.9%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.8%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.6% 46.5% 2.15 -2.0%

Draw 27.4% 31.7% 3.15 -8.2%

Away win 27.0% 30.3% 3.30 -6.5%

Over 2.5 44.8% 47.6% 2.10 -5.9%

Over 3.5 25.6% 26.3% 3.80 -1.6%

BTTS 48.6% 55.6% 1.80 -12.5%

Home O1.5 38.0% 44.4% 2.25 -14.5%

Away O1.5 23.6% 32.3% 3.10 -16.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -37.4%

Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.6%

H 46% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.0%

#2 1–1 12.7%

#3 0–0 11.1%

#4 2–0 10.1%

#5 0–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Železničar Pančevo1.4

Radnik Surdulica0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ŽELEZNIČAR PANČEVO · PPG 1.88

RADNIK SURDULICA · PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.51 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Železničar Pančevo (H) 45.6%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -2.0%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV -8.2%

Radnik Surdulica (A) 27.0%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -6.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Železničar Pančevo face Radnik Surdulica in Serbia - Super Liga on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Železničar Pančevo a 46% chance, the draw 27% and Radnik Surdulica 27%, so Železničar Pančevo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Železničar Pančevo and 0.8 for Radnik Surdulica (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Železničar Pančevo are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 0.93 for Radnik Surdulica. This match finished 5-1.

Železničar Pančevo vs Radnik Surdulica Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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