Today / Serbia - Super Liga / Radnicki NIS vs Radnicki 1923

Radnicki NIS vs Radnicki 1923 Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Matchday 7 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 19:00

Radnicki NIS

PPG 1.43 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDLD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Radnicki 1923

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-111.4%0-25.5%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.7%1-113.3%1-26.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.0%2-17.8%2-23.8%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.1%3-13.1%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.2%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% 39.1% 2.56 -6.8%

Draw 27.7% 32.8% 3.05 -9.3%

Away win 35.9% 37.6% 2.66 -4.5%

Over 2.5 43.1% 48.8% 2.05 -11.7%

Over 3.5 20.7% 27.0% 3.70 -14.1%

BTTS 47.2% 57.1% 1.75 -17.4%

Home O1.5 31.8% 39.2% 2.55 -18.9%

Away O1.5 27.5% 38.2% 2.62 -16.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -37.4%

Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.2%

H 36% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.3%

#2 0–1 11.4%

#3 0–0 11.7%

#4 1–0 13.7%

#5 1–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Radnicki NIS1.2

Radnicki 19231.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.1% · O3.5 PROB 20.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RADNICKI NIS · PPG 1.43

RADNICKI 1923 · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.20, combined xG 2.15 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Radnicki NIS (H) 36.4%

ODDS 2.56 · IMPLIED 39.1% EV -6.8%

Draw 27.7%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV -9.3%

Radnicki 1923 (A) 35.9%

ODDS 2.66 · IMPLIED 37.6% EV -4.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Radnicki NIS face Radnicki 1923 in Serbia - Super Liga on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Radnicki NIS a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Radnicki 1923 36%, so Radnicki NIS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Radnicki NIS and 1.0 for Radnicki 1923 (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Radnicki NIS are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.11 for Radnicki 1923. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +2.9%. This match finished 1-1.

Radnicki NIS vs Radnicki 1923 Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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