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Cukaricki vs Vojvodina Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Matchday 7 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 19:00

Cukaricki logo
Cukaricki
PPG 1.71 · HOME
LAST 5
WDWLL
0 – 5
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Vojvodina logo
Vojvodina
PPG 1.28 · AWAY
LAST 5
WWLWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.0% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-17.2%0-24.5%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.4%1-111.6%1-27.2%1-32.9%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.3%2-25.7%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.0%3-15.0%3-23.1%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.9%4+-21.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 45.5% 31.3% 3.20 +45.6%
Draw 24.7% 29.4% 3.40 -9.6%
Away win 29.8% 48.5% 2.06 -23.2%
Over 2.5 53.5% 55.6% 1.80 -3.7%
Over 3.5 32.6% 33.3% 3.00 -2.2%
BTTS 55.0% 60.6% 1.65 -9.3%
Home O1.5 48.5% 37.0% 2.70 +30.9%
Away O1.5 36.6% 50.0% 2.00 -26.8%

League track record

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5 48%
BTTS 42%
Score Hit 48%
ROI -37.4%
Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-5
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.0%

H 46% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%
#2 2–1 9.3%
#3 1–0 9.4%
#4 2–0 7.5%
#5 1–2 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cukaricki1.6
Vojvodina1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.6%

Form & verdict PPG

CUKARICKI · PPG 1.71

VOJVODINA · PPG 1.28

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED

xG gap +0.37 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Cukaricki (H) 45.5%
ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +45.6%
Draw 24.7%
ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -9.6%
Vojvodina (A) 29.8%
ODDS 2.06 · IMPLIED 48.5% EV -23.2%

Season Statistics average per match · 7 matches · 2026

Cukaricki ▾ lower is better Vojvodina

Attack

10.7
Shots
17.1
4.3
Shots on target
6.3
3.4
Shots off target
6.6
3.0
Blocked shots
4.3
7.1
Shots inside box
10.6
3.6
Shots outside box
6.6
40.0%
Shooting accuracy
36.7%
30.0%
Goals per shot on target
34.1%
1.29
Goals
2.14
1.42
xG for 4·3 of 7
1.59

Defence

16.4
Shots faced
11.4
6.3
Shots on target faced
4.9
1.71
Goals conceded
0.86
1.65
xG against 4·3 of 7
1.94
4.7
Goalkeeper saves
4.0

Control

41.3%
Possession
52.3%
301
Passes
355
224
Accurate passes
284
74.3%
Pass accuracy
80.0%
4.0
Corners
5.3
5.9
Corners faced
4.7
2.0
Offsides
1.7

Discipline

14.7
Fouls
15.7
2.3
Yellow cards
2.3
0.00
Red cards
0.00

Match Preview & Prediction

Cukaricki face Vojvodina in Serbia - Super Liga on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cukaricki a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Vojvodina 30%, so Cukaricki are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Cukaricki and 1.2 for Vojvodina (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cukaricki are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.28 for Vojvodina. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +30.9%. This match finished 0-5.

PredictVantage

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