Odisha FC vs Bengaluru Prediction— India - Indian Super League

India - Indian Super League Regular Season - 11 Kalinga Stadium· Bhubaneswar Monday, May 4, 2026 14:00

Odisha FC PPG 1.00

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Bengaluru PPG 2.50

Draw· -5.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Odisha FC face Bengaluru in India - Indian Super League on Monday, May 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odisha FC a 21% chance, the draw 28% and Bengaluru 51%, so Bengaluru are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Odisha FC and 1.7 for Bengaluru (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odisha FC are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.50 for Bengaluru. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 20.8%

Odds: 3.85 EV: -19.9%

Draw 27.9%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -5.1%

Away 51.3%

Odds: 1.83 EV: -6.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.6% Odds: 1.80 -10.7%

Over 3.5 27.6% Odds: 3.00 -17.2%

BTTS 52.8% Odds: 1.67 -11.8%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Odisha FC

0.99

Bengaluru

1.66

Model SuggestionBTTS -11.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -11.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5/Under 57%

BTTS/No 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 5.8%

Bet Hit 60% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)