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Odisha FC vs Bengaluru Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Regular Season - 11 ·Monday, May 4, 2026, 14:00

Odisha FC

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Bengaluru

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.8% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-111.7%0-29.7%0-35.4%0-4+3.3%1 1-07.0%1-111.6%1-29.6%1-35.3%1-4+3.2%2 2-03.5%2-15.8%2-24.8%2-32.7%2-4+1.6%3 3-01.1%3-11.9%3-21.6%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 20.8% 26.0% 3.85 -19.9%

Draw 27.9% 29.4% 3.40 -5.1%

Away win 51.3% 54.6% 1.83 -6.1%

Over 2.5 49.6% 55.6% 1.80 -10.7%

Over 3.5 27.6% 33.3% 3.00 -17.2%

BTTS 52.8% 59.9% 1.67 -11.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 5.0%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob52.8%

A 51% / xG 1.0-1.7 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.6%

#2 0–1 11.7%

#3 0–2 9.7%

#4 1–2 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Odisha FC1.0

Bengaluru1.7

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.6% · O3.5 PROB 27.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ODISHA FC · PPG 1.00

BENGALURU · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Odisha FC (H) 20.8%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -19.9%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -5.1%

Bengaluru (A) 51.3%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -6.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Odisha FC face Bengaluru in India - Indian Super League on Monday, May 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odisha FC a 21% chance, the draw 28% and Bengaluru 51%, so Bengaluru are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Odisha FC and 1.7 for Bengaluru (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odisha FC are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.50 for Bengaluru. This match finished 1-1.

Odisha FC vs Bengaluru Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More India - Indian Super League Predictions