San Diego W. W vs Bay FC W Prediction— USA - NWSL Women

USA - NWSL Women Group Stage Snapdragon Stadium· San Diego Sunday, May 3, 2026 23:00

San Diego W. W PPG 2.00

0-1 MISS

Bay FC W PPG 1.50

Away· +14.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

San Diego W. W face Bay FC W in USA - NWSL Women on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Diego W. W a 59% chance, the draw 24% and Bay FC W 17%, so San Diego W. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for San Diego W. W and 1.0 for Bay FC W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Diego W. W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Bay FC W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +14.8%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.8%

Odds: 1.40 EV: -17.7%

Draw 24.2%

Odds: 4.20 EV: +1.6%

Away 17.0%

Odds: 6.75 EV: +14.8%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.9% Odds: 1.70 -1.6%

Over 3.5 35.5% Odds: 2.75 -2.4%

BTTS 56.5% Odds: 1.83 +3.4%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

San Diego W. W

2.00

Bay FC W

1.01

Model SuggestionHome -17.7% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-17.7%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.50)