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Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura logo Paraguay flag Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura Apertura - 19 Estadio Rogelio Livieres· Asuncion Sunday, May 3, 2026 23:00
Guarani logo Guarani PPG 1.89
0-1 MISS
Nacional logo Nacional PPG 1.22
Over3.5· +27.8% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.0%
Odds: 2.44 EV: +2.5%
Draw 29.6%
Odds: 3.05 EV: -9.7%
Away 28.4%
Odds: 2.85 EV: -19.1%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.7% Odds: 2.40 +16.9%
Over 3.5 26.9% Odds: 4.75 +27.8%
BTTS 54.7% Odds: 1.95 +6.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Guarani
1.46
Nacional
1.17

Model Suggestion

BTTS +6.7% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+27.8%)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.89) > Away AVERAGE (1.22)

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