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Brazil - Serie A logo Brazil flag Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 14 Estádio Beira-Rio· Porto Alegre Sunday, May 3, 2026 21:30
Internacional logo Internacional PPG 0.71
2-0 MISS
Fluminense logo Fluminense PPG 1.33
Away· +31.6% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.6%
Odds: 2.22 EV: -36.5%
Draw 30.9%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -1.1%
Away 40.5%
Odds: 3.25 EV: +31.6%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.3% Odds: 2.20 -2.5%
Over 3.5 23.1% Odds: 4.20 -3.0%
BTTS 51.3% Odds: 1.90 -2.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Internacional
1.10
Fluminense
1.35

Model Suggestion

BTTS -2.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -2.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+31.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 49%
ROI 8.0%
Bet Hit 56% (27 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs Home POOR (0.71)

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