Chapecoense vs Bragantino Prediction & Tips

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Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 14 Arena Condá· Chapecó Sunday, May 3, 2026 21:30

Chapecoense PPG 1.00

1-2 HIT CS3

Bragantino PPG 1.17

Home· +2.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.2%

Odds: 3.50 EV: +2.2%

Draw 29.9%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -1.3%

Away 40.9%

Odds: 2.08 EV: -14.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.2% Odds: 2.00 -3.6%

Over 3.5 26.4% Odds: 3.50 -7.6%

BTTS 54.4% Odds: 1.77 -3.7%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✔

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Chapecoense

1.18

Bragantino

1.43

Model SuggestionBTTS -3.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+2.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.17)