Godoy Cruz vs Deportivo Moron Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 12 Estadio Feliciano Gambarte· Mendoza Sunday, May 3, 2026 19:30

Godoy Cruz PPG 1.80

2-2 MISS

Deportivo Moron PPG 1.00

Away· +34.5% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Godoy Cruz face Deportivo Moron in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Godoy Cruz a 34% chance, the draw 36% and Deportivo Moron 30%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 1.0 for Godoy Cruz and 0.9 for Deportivo Moron (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Godoy Cruz are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.00 for Deportivo Moron. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +34.5%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.0%

Odds: 1.91 EV: -35.1%

Draw 36.1%

Odds: 2.80 EV: +1.1%

Away 29.9%

Odds: 4.50 EV: +34.5%

Result: Draw ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 29.0% Odds: 2.95 -14.4%

Over 3.5 12.1% Odds: 7.00 -15.3%

BTTS 39.0% Odds: 2.40 -6.4%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Godoy Cruz

0.98

Deportivo Moron

0.90

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)