New York City vs DC United Prediction— USA - Major League Soccer

Match Preview & Prediction

New York City face DC United in USA - Major League Soccer on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives New York City a 51% chance, the draw 25% and DC United 24%, so New York City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for New York City and 1.3 for DC United (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, New York City are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.00 for DC United. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +22.4%. This match finished 0-2.