Sao Paulo vs Bahia Prediction & Tips

Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 14 Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques· Bragança Paulista Sunday, May 3, 2026 19:00

Sao Paulo PPG 2.50

2-2 MISS

Bahia PPG 2.00

Draw· +1.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Home 45.3%

Odds: 1.99 EV: -9.8%

Draw 30.8%

Odds: 3.30 EV: +1.6%

Away 23.9%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -9.2%

Result: Draw ✘

Over 2.5 42.1% Odds: 2.10 -11.6%

Over 3.5 21.4% Odds: 3.75 -19.8%

BTTS 48.5% Odds: 1.85 -10.3%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Sao Paulo

1.40

Bahia

0.96

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Based on 63 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5/Under 48%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 49%

ROI 8.0%

Bet Hit 56% (27 bets)

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.50) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)