Gimnasia Jujuy PPG 3.00
Deportivo Maipu PPG 0.40Gimnasia Jujuy face Deportivo Maipu in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gimnasia Jujuy a 59% chance, the draw 25% and Deportivo Maipu 16%, so Gimnasia Jujuy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Gimnasia Jujuy and 0.9 for Deportivo Maipu (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gimnasia Jujuy are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.40 for Deportivo Maipu. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +75.4%. This match finished 1-1.
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=59.1%