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Spain - Segunda División
Regular Season - 38
Estadio de Gran Canaria· Las Palmas
Sunday, May 3, 2026
19:00
Las Palmas
PPG 2.00
2-1
HIT CS5
Valladolid
PPG 0.94
Draw· +3.5%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
50.2%
Odds: 1.85
EV: -7.1%
Draw
30.0%
Odds: 3.45
EV: +3.5%
Away
19.8%
Odds: 4.20
EV: -16.8%
Model lean:
Home
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
41.5%
Odds: 2.00
-17.0%
Over 3.5
20.9%
Odds: 3.65
-23.7%
BTTS
46.3%
Odds: 1.83
-15.3%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Las Palmas
1.49
Valladolid
0.85
Model Suggestion
Home
-7.1%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Home, but EV is -7.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Draw (+3.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=50.2%