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Spain - Segunda División logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 38 Estadio de Gran Canaria· Las Palmas Sunday, May 3, 2026 19:00
Las Palmas logo Las Palmas PPG 2.00
2-1 HIT CS5
Valladolid logo Valladolid PPG 0.94
Draw· +3.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.2%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -7.1%
Draw 30.0%
Odds: 3.45 EV: +3.5%
Away 19.8%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -16.8%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 41.5% Odds: 2.00 -17.0%
Over 3.5 20.9% Odds: 3.65 -23.7%
BTTS 46.3% Odds: 1.83 -15.3%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Las Palmas
1.49
Valladolid
0.85

Model Suggestion

Home -7.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -7.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+3.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=50.2%

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