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Italy - Serie A Sunday, May 3, 2026 18:45 
Inter Milan PPG 2.41 
Parma PPG 1.41
Italy - Serie A Sunday, May 3, 2026 18:45 Inter Milan PPG 2.412-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Parma PPG 1.41Away· +57.5% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 50.5% Odds: 1.50 -24.3%
Over 3.5 28.4% Odds: 2.25 -36.1%
BTTS 47.2% Odds: 2.05 -3.2%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✔
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Inter Milan 1.93
Parma 0.77
Model Suggestion
Home -23.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -23.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+57.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+57.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 60 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 47%
Score Hit 53%
ROI -26.7%
Bet Hit 40% (10 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 80%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.41) vs P(Home)=63.3%