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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Sunday, May 3, 2026 18:30 
Eldense PPG 2.47 
Marbella PPG 0.59
Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Sunday, May 3, 2026 18:30 Eldense PPG 2.473-1 MISS
Marbella PPG 0.59Away· +16.9% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 45.3% Odds: 1.85 -16.2%
Over 3.5 24.0% Odds: 3.10 -25.6%
BTTS 47.2% Odds: 2.00 -5.6%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Eldense 1.67
Marbella 0.82
Model Suggestion
Home -22.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -22.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+16.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+16.9%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 59 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 49%
O2.5/Under 46%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 41%
ROI 65.2%
Bet Hit 69% (13 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 80%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.47) vs P(Home)=55.7%