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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 12 Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento· Isidro Casanova Sunday, May 3, 2026 18:30
Almirante Brown logo Almirante Brown PPG 1.50
1-0 HIT CS2
Chaco For Ever logo Chaco For Ever PPG 0.20
Over3.5· +4.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.7%
Odds: 2.20 EV: -3.9%
Draw 34.4%
Odds: 2.65 EV: -8.8%
Away 21.8%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -17.2%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 30.4% Odds: 3.40 +3.4%
Over 3.5 13.0% Odds: 8.00 +4.0%
BTTS 38.6% Odds: 2.55 -1.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Almirante Brown
1.17
Chaco For Ever
0.76

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=43.7%

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