Al Ahli Jeddah PPG 2.57
Al Akhdoud PPG 0.29Al Ahli Jeddah face Al Akhdoud in Saudi-Arabia - Pro League on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Ahli Jeddah a 75% chance, the draw 18% and Al Akhdoud 8%, so Al Ahli Jeddah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Al Ahli Jeddah and 0.7 for Al Akhdoud (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Ahli Jeddah are averaging 2.57 points per game versus 0.29 for Al Akhdoud. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +63.8%. This match finished 4-0.
Based on 54 resolved predictions
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.57), Away POOR (0.29) - Strong consensus