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Jeddah vs Al Zulfi Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Regular Season - 32 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 17:50

Jeddah

PPG 0.80 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Al Zulfi

PPG 1.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.2% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-111.5%0-28.2%0-33.8%0-4+1.9%1 1-08.9%1-112.6%1-28.9%1-34.2%1-4+2.0%2 2-04.9%2-16.9%2-24.9%2-32.3%2-4+1.1%3 3-01.8%3-12.5%3-21.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.2% 22.2% 4.50 +22.4%

Draw 30.3% 29.4% 3.40 +3.0%

Away win 42.5% 58.8% 1.70 -27.8%

Over 2.5 45.9% 52.6% 1.90 -12.8%

Over 3.5 24.4% 32.3% 3.10 -24.4%

BTTS 52.2% 57.1% 1.75 -8.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 66%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 20%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.2%

A 42% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.6%

#2 0–0 8.1%

#3 0–1 11.5%

#4 1–2 8.9%

#5 0–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jeddah1.1

Al Zulfi1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 24.4%

Form & verdict PPG

JEDDAH · PPG 0.80

AL ZULFI · PPG 1.53

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.53) vs Home POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Jeddah (H) 27.2%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +22.4%

Draw 30.3%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +3.0%

Al Zulfi (A) 42.5%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -27.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jeddah face Al Zulfi in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeddah a 27% chance, the draw 30% and Al Zulfi 43%, so Al Zulfi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Jeddah and 1.4 for Al Zulfi (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeddah are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.53 for Al Zulfi. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +22.4%. This match finished 1-1.

Jeddah vs Al Zulfi Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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