Chicago RS W vs Portland T. W Prediction— USA - NWSL Women

USA - NWSL Women Group Stage Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium· Evanston Sunday, May 3, 2026 17:00

Chicago RS W PPG 1.50

0-2 HIT CS3

Portland T. W PPG 1.75

Draw· -2.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Chicago RS W face Portland T. W in USA - NWSL Women on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chicago RS W a 18% chance, the draw 27% and Portland T. W 55%, so Portland T. W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Chicago RS W and 1.7 for Portland T. W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chicago RS W are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.75 for Portland T. W. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 17.9%

Odds: 4.33 EV: -22.5%

Draw 27.4%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -2.7%

Away 54.7%

Odds: 1.70 EV: -7.0%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.8% Odds: 1.93 -7.8%

Over 3.5 26.1% Odds: 3.35 -12.6%

BTTS 49.8% Odds: 1.80 -10.4%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✔

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Chicago RS W

0.89

Portland T. W

1.70

Model SuggestionAway -7.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -7.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.75)