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Croatia - HNL Sunday, May 3, 2026 16:45 
Hajduk Split PPG 2.00 
Varazdin PPG 1.13
Croatia - HNL Sunday, May 3, 2026 16:45 Hajduk Split PPG 2.003-1 MISS
Varazdin PPG 1.13Away· +37.0% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.6% Odds: 1.80 -16.1%
Over 3.5 25.0% Odds: 2.95 -26.3%
BTTS 51.2% Odds: 1.83 -6.3%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Hajduk Split 1.55
Varazdin 0.98
Model Suggestion
BTTS -6.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -6.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+37.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+37.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 34 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 71%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 62%
ROI -28.6%
Bet Hit 29% (7 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 80%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=48.8%