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Al Batin vs Al Bukayriyah Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Regular Season - 32 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 16:10

Al Batin

PPG 0.73 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Al Bukayriyah

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 58.1% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-19.0%0-26.5%0-33.1%0-4+1.6%1 1-08.3%1-112.0%1-28.7%1-34.2%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.5%2-18.0%2-25.8%2-32.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.4%3-13.5%3-22.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.6%4+-21.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.9% 46.5% 2.15 -29.3%

Draw 28.9% 31.3% 3.20 -7.5%

Away win 38.2% 32.3% 3.10 +18.4%

Over 2.5 52.6% 55.6% 1.80 -5.3%

Over 3.5 30.4% 33.3% 3.00 -8.8%

BTTS 58.1% 61.7% 1.62 -5.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 66%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob58.1%

D 29% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 0–0✓ 6.2%

#4 2–1 8.0%

#5 0–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Batin1.3

Al Bukayriyah1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 30.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AL BATIN · PPG 0.73

AL BUKAYRIYAH · PPG 1.27

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.27) vs Home POOR (0.73)

Win probability 1X2

Al Batin (H) 32.9%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -29.3%

Draw 28.9%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -7.5%

Al Bukayriyah (A) 38.2%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +18.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Batin face Al Bukayriyah in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Batin a 33% chance, the draw 29% and Al Bukayriyah 38%, so Al Bukayriyah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Al Batin and 1.4 for Al Bukayriyah (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Batin are averaging 0.73 points per game versus 1.27 for Al Bukayriyah. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +18.4%. This match finished 0-0.

Al Batin vs Al Bukayriyah Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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