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Tiszakecske vs Bekescsaba Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 28 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 15:00

Tiszakecske

PPG 1.46 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Bekescsaba

PPG 0.77 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.46) > Away POOR (0.77)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-18.7%0-25.0%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.9%1-112.5%1-27.1%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.8%2-18.9%2-25.1%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.7%3-14.3%3-22.4%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.1%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.9% — — —

Draw 29.9% — — —

Away win 28.1% — — —

Over 2.5 47.5% — — —

Over 3.5 25.9% — — —

BTTS 53.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob53.7%

H 42% / xG 1.4-1.1 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–0 7.6%

#3 1–0 10.9%

#4 2–1 8.9%

#5 2–0✓ 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tiszakecske1.4

Bekescsaba1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.5% · O3.5 PROB 25.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TISZAKECSKE · PPG 1.46

BEKESCSABA · PPG 0.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.46) > Away POOR (0.77)

Win probability 1X2

Tiszakecske (H) 41.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bekescsaba (A) 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Tiszakecske face Bekescsaba in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tiszakecske a 42% chance, the draw 30% and Bekescsaba 28%, so Tiszakecske are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Tiszakecske and 1.1 for Bekescsaba (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tiszakecske are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 0.77 for Bekescsaba. This match finished 2-0.

Tiszakecske vs Bekescsaba Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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