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Kecskemeti TE vs Mezokovesd Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 29 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 15:00

Kecskemeti TE

PPG 2.21 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Mezokovesd

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 54.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-17.5%0-24.2%0-31.6%0-4+0.6%1 1-010.6%1-111.9%1-26.7%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.4%2-19.4%2-25.3%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.4%3-15.0%3-22.8%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-12.8%4+-21.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.9% 60.6% 1.65 -21.0%

Draw 26.3% 30.8% 3.25 -8.7%

Away win 25.8% 20.8% 4.80 +14.3%

Over 2.5 53.0% 50.0% 2.00 +6.0%

Over 3.5 28.8% 31.8% 3.14 -5.7%

BTTS 54.6% 54.6% 1.83 -0.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.6%

H 48% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 2–1✓ 9.4%

#3 1–0 10.6%

#4 0–0 6.7%

#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kecskemeti TE1.6

Mezokovesd1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

KECSKEMETI TE · PPG 2.21

MEZOKOVESD · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.21) > Away GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

Kecskemeti TE (H) 47.9%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -21.0%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -8.7%

Mezokovesd (A) 25.8%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +14.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kecskemeti TE face Mezokovesd in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kecskemeti TE a 48% chance, the draw 26% and Mezokovesd 26%, so Kecskemeti TE are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Kecskemeti TE and 1.1 for Mezokovesd (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kecskemeti TE are averaging 2.21 points per game versus 1.57 for Mezokovesd. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +14.3%. This match finished 2-1.

Kecskemeti TE vs Mezokovesd Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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