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Budafoki vs BVSC Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 29 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 15:00

Budafoki

PPG 1.14 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

BVSC

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.0% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.4%0-114.1%0-28.7%0-33.6%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.6%1-113.2%1-28.2%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-05.0%2-16.2%2-23.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.5%3-11.9%3-21.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.4% 48.8% 2.05 -26.3%

Draw 29.5% 30.8% 3.25 -2.5%

Away win 43.1% 33.3% 3.00 +29.3%

Over 2.5 45.8% 46.5% 2.15 -1.5%

Over 3.5 17.5% 25.5% 3.92 -18.8%

BTTS 51.0% 54.1% 1.85 -5.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob51.0%

A 43% / xG 0.9-1.2 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.2%

#2 0–0 11.4%

#3 0–1 14.1%

#4 0–2 8.7%

#5 1–0 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Budafoki0.9

BVSC1.2

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 17.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BUDAFOKI · PPG 1.14

BVSC · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Budafoki (H) 27.4%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -26.3%

Draw 29.5%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -2.5%

BVSC (A) 43.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +29.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Budafoki face BVSC in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Budafoki a 27% chance, the draw 30% and BVSC 43%, so BVSC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Budafoki and 1.2 for BVSC (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Budafoki are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.29 for BVSC. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +29.3%. This match finished 1-1.

Budafoki vs BVSC Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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