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Ajka vs Szeged Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 29 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 15:00

Ajka

PPG 1.14 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

Szeged

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.3%0-115.7%0-27.1%0-32.1%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.7%1-113.3%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-06.2%2-15.6%2-22.6%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.8%3-11.6%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.3% 37.0% 2.70 -10.1%

Draw 32.7% 38.2% 2.62 -14.3%

Away win 34.0% 38.2% 2.62 -10.9%

Over 2.5 35.1% 42.0% 2.38 -16.5%

Over 3.5 10.1% 21.1% 4.75 -31.2%

BTTS 46.0% 50.0% 2.00 -8.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob46.0%

D 33% / xG 0.8-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.3%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–1 15.7%

#4 1–0 14.7%

#5 0–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ajka0.8

Szeged0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 10.1%

Form & verdict PPG

AJKA · PPG 1.14

SZEGED · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Ajka (H) 33.3%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -10.1%

Draw 32.7%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -14.3%

Szeged (A) 34.0%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -10.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ajka face Szeged in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ajka a 33% chance, the draw 33% and Szeged 34%, so Szeged are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Ajka and 0.9 for Szeged (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ajka are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.00 for Szeged. This match finished 0-3.

Ajka vs Szeged Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

More Hungary - NB II Predictions