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Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa logo Azerbaijan flag Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa Regular Season - 30 Zira Stadium· Zira Sunday, May 3, 2026 14:30
Zira logo Zira PPG 1.53
1-0 HIT CS2
Qabala logo Qabala PPG 0.60
Draw· -3.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.2%
Odds: 1.73 EV: -13.2%
Draw 29.4%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -3.0%
Away 20.4%
Odds: 4.50 EV: -8.2%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.1% Odds: 2.10 -7.4%
Over 3.5 23.0% Odds: 3.85 -11.5%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.93 -6.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Zira
1.53
Qabala
0.91

Model Suggestion

Home -13.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -13.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 69%
ROI 23.6%
Bet Hit 57% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.53) vs P(Home)=50.2%

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