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Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa
Regular Season - 30
Zira Stadium· Zira
Sunday, May 3, 2026
14:30
Zira
PPG 1.53
1-0
HIT CS2
Qabala
PPG 0.60
Draw· -3.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
50.2%
Odds: 1.73
EV: -13.2%
Draw
29.4%
Odds: 3.30
EV: -3.0%
Away
20.4%
Odds: 4.50
EV: -8.2%
Model lean:
Home
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
44.1%
Odds: 2.10
-7.4%
Over 3.5
23.0%
Odds: 3.85
-11.5%
BTTS
48.6%
Odds: 1.93
-6.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-0
✔
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Zira
1.53
Qabala
0.91
Model Suggestion
Home
-13.2%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Home, but EV is -13.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 32 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
56%
O2.5/Under
53%
BTTS/No
66%
Score Hit
69%
ROI
23.6%
Bet Hit
57%
(7 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.53) vs P(Home)=50.2%