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Spain - Segunda División Sunday, May 3, 2026 14:15 
Sporting Gijon PPG 1.89 
Ceuta PPG 0.79
Spain - Segunda División Sunday, May 3, 2026 14:15 Sporting Gijon PPG 1.891-2 MISS
Ceuta PPG 0.79Away· +12.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.2% Odds: 1.80 -6.0%
Over 3.5 30.0% Odds: 3.00 -10.0%
BTTS 55.4% Odds: 1.77 -1.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting Gijon 1.69
Ceuta 1.08
Model Suggestion
BTTS -1.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -1.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+12.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+12.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.89) vs P(Home)=50.0%