Jeju Utd vs Gimcheon Sangmu Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

Jeju Utd face Gimcheon Sangmu in South-Korea - K League 1 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeju Utd a 41% chance, the draw 38% and Gimcheon Sangmu 21%, so Jeju Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Jeju Utd and 0.5 for Gimcheon Sangmu (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 16% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 23% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeju Utd are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.67 for Gimcheon Sangmu. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +22.9%. This match finished 1-1.