CZ Jena W vs Freiburg W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Germany - Frauen Bundesliga Regular Season - 24 Ernst Abbe Sportfeld· Jena Sunday, May 3, 2026 14:00

CZ Jena W PPG 0.27

1-5 MISS

Freiburg W PPG 0.64

Home· +15.2% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

CZ Jena W face Freiburg W in Germany - Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CZ Jena W a 26% chance, the draw 25% and Freiburg W 50%, so Freiburg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for CZ Jena W and 2.0 for Freiburg W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CZ Jena W are averaging 0.27 points per game versus 0.64 for Freiburg W. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +15.2%. This match finished 1-5.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 25.6%

Odds: 4.50 EV: +15.2%

Draw 24.8%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -5.8%

Away 49.6%

Odds: 1.64 EV: -18.7%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.0% Odds: 1.62 +5.3%

Over 3.5 43.0% Odds: 2.50 +7.5%

BTTS 65.9% Odds: 1.57 +3.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

CZ Jena W

1.38

Freiburg W

1.97

Model SuggestionBTTS +3.5% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Home(+15.2%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 55%

Score Hit 28%

ROI 6.0%

Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.27) vs Away POOR (0.64)