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Croatia - HNL Sunday, May 3, 2026 14:00 
Lok. Zagreb PPG 1.75 
Rijeka PPG 1.06
Croatia - HNL Sunday, May 3, 2026 14:00 Lok. Zagreb PPG 1.750-3 MISS
Rijeka PPG 1.06Home· +12.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.1% Odds: 2.00 -7.8%
Over 3.5 24.7% Odds: 3.45 -14.8%
BTTS 53.2% Odds: 1.73 -8.0%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 0-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Lok. Zagreb 1.28
Rijeka 1.24
Model Suggestion
BTTS -8.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -8.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+12.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Home (+12.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 34 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 71%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 62%
ROI -28.6%
Bet Hit 29% (7 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
MODERATE_HOME 52%
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)