Today / Malaysia - Super League / Negeri Sembilan vs Melaka

Negeri Sembilan vs Melaka Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 24 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Negeri Sembilan

PPG 1.40 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Melaka

PPG 0.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.40) vs P(Home)=64.6%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-14.0%0-21.9%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-09.3%1-18.9%1-24.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.3%2-19.8%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.6%3-17.3%3-23.5%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-07.1%4+-16.8%4+-23.2%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.6% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 13.7% — — —

Over 2.5 61.5% — — —

Over 3.5 39.2% — — —

BTTS 56.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob56.2%

H 65% / xG 2.2-1.0 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.3%

#2 1–1 8.9%

#3 2–1 9.8%

#4 1–0 9.3%

#5 3–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Negeri Sembilan2.2

Melaka1.0

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.5% · O3.5 PROB 39.2%

Form & verdict PPG

NEGERI SEMBILAN · PPG 1.40

MELAKA · PPG 0.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.40) vs P(Home)=64.6%

Win probability 1X2

Negeri Sembilan (H) 64.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Melaka (A) 13.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Negeri Sembilan face Melaka in Malaysia - Super League on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Negeri Sembilan a 65% chance, the draw 22% and Melaka 14%, so Negeri Sembilan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Negeri Sembilan and 1.0 for Melaka (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Negeri Sembilan are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.30 for Melaka. This match finished 0-0.

Negeri Sembilan vs Melaka Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Malaysia - Super League Predictions