Vigor Lamezia vs ACR Messina Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone I

Match Preview & Prediction

Vigor Lamezia face ACR Messina in Italy - Serie D - Girone I on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vigor Lamezia a 57% chance, the draw 28% and ACR Messina 15%, so Vigor Lamezia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Vigor Lamezia and 0.6 for ACR Messina (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 32% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vigor Lamezia are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.27 for ACR Messina. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +25.2%. This match finished 1-1.