Today / Italy - Serie D - Girone I / Reggina vs Enna

Reggina vs Enna Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone I

Group I - 30 ·Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Reggina

PPG 1.64 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Enna

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 67.0% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+3.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-13.5%0-21.8%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-07.9%1-18.2%1-24.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.4%2-19.7%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.4%3-17.6%3-23.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-07.6%4+-17.8%4+-24.0%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.0% 64.5% 1.55 +3.9%

Draw 18.1% 27.8% 3.60 -34.8%

Away win 14.9% 19.0% 5.25 -21.8%

Over 2.5 65.9% 48.8% 2.05 +35.1%

Over 3.5 44.0% — — —

BTTS 58.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 17.9%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob58.2%

H 67% / xG 2.4-1.0 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1✓ 9.7%

#2 2–0 9.4%

#3 1–1 8.2%

#4 1–0 7.9%

#5 3–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Reggina2.4

Enna1.0

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.9% · O3.5 PROB 44.0%

Form & verdict PPG

REGGINA · PPG 1.64

ENNA · PPG 0.86

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.64) > Away POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

Reggina (H) 67.0%

ODDS 1.55 · IMPLIED 64.5% EV +3.9%

Draw 18.1%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -34.8%

Enna (A) 14.9%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV -21.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Reggina face Enna in Italy - Serie D - Girone I on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Reggina a 67% chance, the draw 18% and Enna 15%, so Reggina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Reggina and 1.0 for Enna (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Reggina are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 0.86 for Enna. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +35.1%. This match finished 2-1.

Reggina vs Enna Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone I

Match Preview & Prediction

More Italy - Serie D - Girone I Predictions