Reggina vs Paterno Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone I

Italy - Serie D - Girone I Group I - 32 Stadio Oreste Granillo· Reggio Calabria Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00

Reggina PPG 1.73

2-0 HIT MostLikelyScore

Paterno PPG 0.13

Home· -0.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Reggina face Paterno in Italy - Serie D - Girone I on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Reggina a 89% chance, the draw 9% and Paterno 2%, so Reggina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Reggina and 0.3 for Paterno (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 24% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Reggina are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 0.13 for Paterno. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 89.3%

Odds: 1.11 EV: -0.9%

Draw 8.6%

Odds: 5.20 EV: -55.3%

Away 2.1%

Odds: 34.00 EV: -28.6%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.9% Odds: 1.53 -6.8%

Over 3.5 38.6% Odds: — —

BTTS 23.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✔

2nd 3-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 4-0 ✘

5th 5-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Reggina

2.86

Paterno

0.29

Model SuggestionHome -0.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -0.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.73), Away POOR (0.13) - Strong consensus