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Nissa vs Enna Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone I

Italy - Serie D - Girone I logo Italy flag Italy - Serie D - Girone I Group I - 32 Stadio Marco Tomaselli· Caltanissetta Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00
Nissa logo Nissa PPG 1.93
3-0 HIT CS4
Enna logo Enna PPG 0.80
Over2.5· +16.5% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Nissa face Enna in Italy - Serie D - Girone I on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nissa a 72% chance, the draw 17% and Enna 11%, so Nissa are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Nissa and 0.8 for Enna (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nissa are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 0.80 for Enna. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +16.5%. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 71.6%
Odds: 1.60 EV: +14.6%
Draw 17.1%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -40.2%
Away 11.3%
Odds: 5.00 EV: -43.5%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.3% Odds: 1.90 +16.5%
Over 3.5 39.0% Odds: —
BTTS 50.5% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-1
4th 3-0
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Nissa
2.35
Enna
0.82

Model Suggestion

Home +14.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over2.5(+16.5%)

League Track Record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 57%

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.93), Away POOR (0.80) - Strong consensus

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