Today / Italy - Serie D - Girone I / Nissa vs Enna

Nissa vs Enna Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone I

Group I - 32 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 13:00

Nissa

PPG 1.93 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Enna

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 71.6% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5% — a clear edge.

+14.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-13.4%0-21.4%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.9%1-18.1%1-23.3%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.6%2-19.5%2-23.9%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.1%3-17.4%3-23.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-09.3%4+-17.6%4+-23.1%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.6% 62.5% 1.60 +14.6%

Draw 17.1% 28.6% 3.50 -40.2%

Away win 11.3% 20.0% 5.00 -43.5%

Over 2.5 61.3% 52.6% 1.90 +16.5%

Over 3.5 39.0% — — —

BTTS 50.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 17.9%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob50.5%

H 72% / xG 2.4-0.8 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.6%

#2 1–0 9.9%

#3 2–1 9.5%

#4 3–0✓ 9.1%

#5 1–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nissa2.4

Enna0.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.3% · O3.5 PROB 39.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NISSA · PPG 1.93

ENNA · PPG 0.80

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.93), Away POOR (0.80) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Nissa (H) 71.6%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV +14.6%

Draw 17.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -40.2%

Enna (A) 11.3%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -43.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Nissa face Enna in Italy - Serie D - Girone I on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nissa a 72% chance, the draw 17% and Enna 11%, so Nissa are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Nissa and 0.8 for Enna (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nissa are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 0.80 for Enna. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +16.5%. This match finished 3-0.

Nissa vs Enna Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone I

Match Preview & Prediction

More Italy - Serie D - Girone I Predictions