Today / Italy - Serie D - Girone F / Termoli Calcio vs LAquila

Termoli Calcio vs LAquila Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone F

Group F - 34 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 13:00

Termoli Calcio

PPG 1.06 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

LAquila

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-111.6%0-26.6%0-32.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.7%1-113.3%1-27.5%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.7%2-17.6%2-24.3%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.6%3-12.9%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.1%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.1% — — —

Draw 32.5% — — —

Away win 33.4% — — —

Over 2.5 39.9% — — —

Over 3.5 19.7% — — —

BTTS 48.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 30%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -7.1%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.3%

D 32% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.2%

#3 1–0 11.7%

#4 0–1 11.6%

#5 2–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Termoli Calcio1.1

LAquila1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.9% · O3.5 PROB 19.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TERMOLI CALCIO · PPG 1.06

LAQUILA · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.06)

Win probability 1X2

Termoli Calcio (H) 34.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

LAquila (A) 33.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Termoli Calcio face LAquila in Italy - Serie D - Girone F on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Termoli Calcio a 34% chance, the draw 33% and LAquila 33%, so Termoli Calcio are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Termoli Calcio and 1.1 for LAquila (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Termoli Calcio are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.06 for LAquila. This match finished 1-1.

Termoli Calcio vs LAquila Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone F

Match Preview & Prediction

More Italy - Serie D - Girone F Predictions