Castelfidardo vs Sora Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone F

Italy - Serie D - Girone F Group F - 34 Nuovo Stadio Comunale G.Mancini· Castelfidardo Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

Castelfidardo PPG 1.06

0-2 MISS

Sora PPG 0.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Castelfidardo face Sora in Italy - Serie D - Girone F on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Castelfidardo a 32% chance, the draw 29% and Sora 39%, so Sora are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Castelfidardo and 1.4 for Sora (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Castelfidardo are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 0.94 for Sora. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 29.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 38.5%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.1% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 29.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 56.9% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Castelfidardo

1.29

Sora

1.43

Model SuggestionBTTS  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away POOR (0.94)