San Marino C. vs Sammaurese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone F

Italy - Serie D - Girone F Group F - 34 Stadio Giorgio Calbi· Cattolica Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

San Marino C. PPG 1.00

1-0 HIT CS4

Sammaurese PPG 0.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

San Marino C. face Sammaurese in Italy - Serie D - Girone F on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Marino C. a 47% chance, the draw 27% and Sammaurese 26%, so San Marino C. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for San Marino C. and 1.2 for Sammaurese (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Marino C. are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.31 for Sammaurese. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.0%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 27.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 25.6%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.1% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 32.7% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.6% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✔

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

San Marino C.

1.68

Sammaurese

1.20

Model SuggestionBTTS  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

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Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.31)