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Australia - Northern NSW NPL
Regular Season - 8
Saturday, April 18, 2026
06:30
Maitland
PPG 0.00
2-1
MISS
Lambton Jaffas
PPG 3.00
Away· +72.0%
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
40% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
16.9%
Odds: 2.30
EV: -61.1%
Draw
14.2%
Odds: 3.40
EV: -51.7%
Away
68.8%
Odds: 2.50
EV: +72.0%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
89.5%
Odds: —
—
Over 3.5
76.8%
Odds: —
—
BTTS
80.9%
Odds: 1.40
+13.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-3
✘
2nd
2-3
✘
3rd
1-2
✘
4th
1-4
✘
5th
2-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Maitland
1.80
Lambton Jaffas
3.44
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking:
excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
40%
NEUTRAL
No PPG data