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Italy - Serie A
Regular Season - 35
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore· Reggio Emilia
Sunday, May 3, 2026
13:00
Sassuolo
PPG 1.53
2-0
MISS
AC Milan
PPG 2.06
Draw· +23.6%
✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
26.4%
Odds: 4.40
EV: +16.2%
Draw
31.7%
Odds: 3.90
EV: +23.6%
Away
41.9%
Odds: 1.70
EV: -28.8%
Result: Home ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
40.9%
Odds: 1.70
-30.5%
Over 3.5
20.5%
Odds: 2.80
-42.6%
BTTS
48.3%
Odds: 1.70
-17.9%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
0-1
✘
4th
1-2
✘
5th
0-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Sassuolo
1.00
AC Milan
1.32
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs Home GOOD (1.53)