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Italy - Serie A logo Italy flag Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 35 MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore· Reggio Emilia Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00
Sassuolo logo Sassuolo PPG 1.53
2-0 MISS
AC Milan logo AC Milan PPG 2.06
Draw· +23.6% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 26.4%
Odds: 4.40 EV: +16.2%
Draw 31.7%
Odds: 3.90 EV: +23.6%
Away 41.9%
Odds: 1.70 EV: -28.8%
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 40.9% Odds: 1.70 -30.5%
Over 3.5 20.5% Odds: 2.80 -42.6%
BTTS 48.3% Odds: 1.70 -17.9%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-2
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Sassuolo
1.00
AC Milan
1.32

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs Home GOOD (1.53)

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