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D. Recoleta PPG 1.67 
Cerro Porteno PPG 2.13
D. Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno Prediction— Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura
D. Recoleta PPG 1.672-1 HIT CS5
Cerro Porteno PPG 2.13 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
D. Recoleta face Cerro Porteno in Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives D. Recoleta a 32% chance, the draw 30% and Cerro Porteno 38%, so Cerro Porteno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for D. Recoleta and 1.4 for Cerro Porteno (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, D. Recoleta are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 2.13 for Cerro Porteno. This match finished 2-1.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 48.2% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 26.4% Odds: — —
BTTS 54.7% Odds: — —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-2 ✘
4th 0-1 ✘
5th 2-1 ✔
Expected Goals (xG)
D. Recoleta 1.25
Cerro Porteno 1.36
Model Suggestion
BTTS MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 34 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 38%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 47%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 16.7%
Bet Hit 56% (9 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
DANGER 45%
Home weakness: GOOD (1.67) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.13)